stock market predictions

 
The free market of ideas.
Login or Log in now
 
LVS Las Vegas Sands Corp. +21.4%
Initiated 12/2/10 $49.44 - Target 4/29/11 $60.00
Closed $47.01 4/29/11 4:03 PM
Today $46.38
Made -4.9% Consider this Stock
so we email you when someone covers it

Analyst Profile

rss
Josh Warner-Burke
Baltimore
User since Nov 2007
Covers CMG UA - Go to Blog
Consider this Analyst
so we email you when they make picks
Phoenix rising from the ashes

This title would have been more apropos as it reclaimed $10 in May 2009 or when it cracked $20 in March 2010.  But compared to its prior peak value, LVS could have a ways to go.

Today is an off day on news that a land use application in Macao was denied.  They can appeal, and it's not immediately apparent what material affect this will have on their business.  http://bit.ly/egr7ml (StreetInsider)

But I do know having watched this chart lately that the stock loves the $50 level and in the very short term it's almost guaranteed to get back to $51 or $52 which is enough for me to wring some profits out of Dec 18 calls.  But that is another matter.

If you are a long term investor I consider this a fair entry point into a stock that could double.  (Eventually.)  

This company basically owns the whole gaming scene in Macao (though Wynn is a competitor) and is expanding into parts of the world that others have thus far not, such as Singapore where its Marina Bay Sands is expected to contribute a significant amount of revenue even in its first year.

Despite a huge recent run-up (I closed my ProofTrader position at around $40 only to see it shoot up to $50) the forward P/E is 29.58 which seems quite reasonable to me considering the growth they are likely to see over the next few years.

So I did famously say "It will never recover its lofty highs" in this coverage from last December with the stock at 16.04: http://prooftrader.com/symbol/LVS/212/Once-a-power-player-then-left-for-dea...

However lately I am reconsidering.  At around $50 maybe it's destined to get back to $100.

Confidence 8 as this stock has always been good to me.

 
Comment on this Article
Contribute to the conversation

Blog a Stock

1 Enter a Symbol
 
2 Set a Target Price
 
or Set % Change
 
3 Choose a Target Date
 
Once you have entered a symbol, information about that security will appear here.
 
What People Are Saying...
David Sachdev said at 12/2/10 2:29 PM
+1
Josh Warner-Burke said at 12/3/10 12:16 PM
Analysts said the announcement is "another reminder of the unpredictable nature of policy decisions in Macau," but shouldn't affect Sands' valuation given that the project wasn't likely to open until 2018 at the earliest
David Sachdev said at 12/15/10 10:58 AM
We've broken through lower resistance and I know that the shorts are looking at LVS for a short term profit. Hoping we can get back up to the 43.68 level, and not revisit 41.

Sitting on hands with this stock until we do one or the other.
Josh Warner-Burke said at 12/15/10 8:07 PM
Yeah not good short term. My target is far enough away I will leave the coverage open, but I am mostly out of LVS in real life.
Josh Warner-Burke said at 12/16/10 7:20 PM
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-12-16/las-vegas-sands-sees-las-vegas-gro...

Las Vegas Sands Sees Las Vegas Group Room Rates Up 10% By 2012
David Sachdev said at 12/17/10 9:53 AM
I picked up a few more March 2011 41 Calls when LVS hit 43.70 yesterday.

Holding 41, 44, and 52.5 Calls for March as well as shares at the moment.
Josh Warner-Burke said at 12/22/10 1:14 PM
I think you have to look at a day like today, with recent leaders like UA, LVS, CSTR down by 3-5% even with the indexes up, as profit-taking going into the end of the year. As I am in Jan 22 calls mostly I will hold.
Josh Warner-Burke agreed at 1/31/11 10:34 PM Agree
I stand by this LVS pick.
LVS $46.38 -0.77 (-1.6%)
 
 
LVS: Betting on LVS
Opened 42.55 11/23/11
Target 46.50 by 4/27/12
Today 46.38
David Sachdev from Washington, DC

LVS: A Roll of the Dice
Opened 46.45 7/26/11
Target 47.25 by 7/28/11
Today 46.38
David Sachdev from Washington, DC

LVS: Las Vegas Sands Craps Out. Watch This Level
Opened 44.79 4/19/11
Target 44.00 by 4/20/11
Today 46.38
Inthe Money from NYC

LVS: Roll a Natural...
Opened 48.75 2/1/11
Target 51.00 by 2/4/11
Today 46.38
David Sachdev from Washington, DC

 
 ^VIX  AAPL  AMGN  AMLN 
 BLIAQ.PK  DNDN 
 DOW  DYN  EWY  FB  FRPT 
 GLUU  GOOG  GPS  GRPN 
 GSK  HEVVQ.PK  HP  INTC 
 LNKD  MPEL  MVIS  NFLX 
 OPEN  P  PM  PNRA  RXAC.PK 
 SLB  SNE  SURE.OB  TOL  URBN 
 VMW  YGE  YHOO  ZNGA 
 ZSTN.PK