I am not really good at picking shorts, or betting on the market going down.  As you've seen from my SDS prediction which has so far been completely wrong.

But I do know that if you are looking for an easy target, you need look no further than Canadian smartphone maker Research in Motion.  Blackberry as a brand is just about dead.  Someone take it out back and put it out of its misery.

There has been speculation lately of a possible buy-out after GOOG moved to acquire MMI for $12.5 billion.  I think that while Google clearly overpaid for Motorola, there is more that makes sense about that deal than anyone buying RIMM.  

The market cap as of this writing is $14 B.  I am predicting that will slip to around $10 B with a share price of $19.  Motorola got bought for $12B, but before the buyout they were worth about $8B.  (Huge premium paid by Google for some reason.)  It is quite likely someone will acquire RIMM, but why not let it get a lot cheaper first?

Oh and their entry into the tablet market made a loud sucking sound.  Is anyone out there saying, hmm, should I get an iPad or a Playbook?  DING DING the answer is NO, NO ONE WOULD EVER SAY THAT.  Have any of your facebook friends posted about how they finally got a smartphone and it's a blackberry?  There is just no buzz to their products.